As Singapore, New York and Melbourne have shown, cities can mitigate the impact of heatwaves if they have the will to create green infrastructure, explain Amit Kapoor & Bibek Debroy.
Ahead of the Economic Survey, industry body Ficci today lowered its GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal, pegging India's economic expansion rate at 5.3 per cent compared to its 5.5 per cent previous estimate.
Non-basmati white rice accounts for nearly 25-30 per cent of total rice exported from the country.
As far as Saffola is concerned, oil and oats have been successful segments.
"The main risk stems from the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the south west monsoon in view of the rising probability of an El Nio event around July-August, and its implications for food inflation," RBI said, as it kept the status quo on key interest rate for the third time in a row.
The government on Thursday banned exports of non-basmati white rice to boost domestic supply and keep retail prices under check during the upcoming festive season. There would be no change in export policy of par-boiled non-basmati rice and basmati rice, which forms the bulk of exports, the food ministry said in a statement. Non-basmati white rice constitutes about 25 per cent of total rice exported from the country.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will maintain the policy repo rate at 6.5 per cent during its upcoming June 8 announcement, considering the easing of retail inflation in April and the potential for further decline, indicating the effectiveness of previous policy rate actions, anticipate experts. Headed by Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das, a meeting of the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled for June 6-8. The decision of the 43rd meeting of the MPC would be announced on Thursday, June 8.
Hailstorms may cause Rs 12k-cr crop damage, El Nino a bigger worry.
'Earnings will be the catalyst for markets to march higher from here on out.'
Inflation data, both at domestic and global level, interest rate scenario in the US, geopolitical situation and general elections in 2024 are some of the major factors that would influence trading in the equity market this financial year, analysts said. Besides, foreign fund trading activity and global trends will also dictate terms in the equity market going ahead. Equity markets across the globe faced major challenges in FY23 due to concerns over high inflation, which resulted in increase in interest rates around the world, lowering investor sentiment, experts added.
Apart from the human body, human food will bear direct repercussions. From staples such as wheat, to coffee, dairy, and even the great Hilsa face the threat of reduced supply due to the extreme heat.
'Markets are not expensive; they are fairly priced.'
Retail inflation fell to a 15-month low of 5.66 per cent in March, mainly due to a decline in food prices, government data showed on Wednesday. The inflation figure in March is within the RBI's comfort zone as it is below 6 per cent. The retail inflation based on Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 6.44 per cent in February 2023 and 6.95 per cent in the year-ago period.
While India won't be immune to global spillovers, we need to create the macro preconditions for sustained growth. Policy agility, prudence, and resilience will be key, suggests Sonal Varma.
With the Nifty50 just about 3 per cent away from its all-time closing high of 18,812 points, analysts at BofA Securities suggest investors book profit. Their reasons for the advice include risks like the possibility of a cut in corporate earnings growth forecasts, high valuation (one-year forward P/E of 19.5x), interest rates staying elevated for longer-than-expected and credit tightening. Going ahead, they expect the Nifty50 index to drop to 16,000 levels - down nearly 12 per cent from the current level of 18,255 points, which they believe would be a good time to buy.
India's economy continues to be robust, but downside risks such as rising crude oil prices, adverse weather conditions, and the global banking crisis outweigh the upside potential in gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the current financial year (FY24), the finance ministry said on Tuesday in its Monthly Economic Review for March. "We reiterate that downside risks to our official forecast of 6.5 per cent for real GDP growth in FY24 dominate upside risks," the review said. "Opec's surprise production cut has seen oil prices rise in April, off their lows of low-seventies per barrel in March.
The southwest monsoon which reached the country on May 30 well within its normal onset date
Timely onset of south-west monsoon is crucial for kharif (summer) crops.
The opposition on Wednesday lambasted the government in the Lok Sabha for making "tall promises" which were "difficult to achieve" to garner votes and asked the Bharatiya Janata Party-led ruling dispensation to explain how they would fulfill the aspirations of the people.
Millions of farmers plant rice, cane, corn, cotton and soybean crops in the rainy months of June and July. Harvesting starts from October
While the RBI, in the recent past, appeared keen to move to an inflation-targeting framework, industry and academia remain divided on this issue.
Data spanning the years 1951 to 2014 show that temperature and pressure conditions at specific locations in the Arctic region during the pre-monsoon period correlate with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall, points out Charu Bahri.
'When there is a change in the wind speed or the stress exerted on the surface, it will change the ocean currents.'
Scientists at the India Meteorological Department warn that not only has India turned hotter in the last two decades, but that heat waves are projected to become more intense, have longer durations and greater frequency, thereby resulting in more deaths.
Dr Shreekant Sambrani pays tribute to M S Swaminathan, renowned agricultural scientist and a lifelong crusader against hunger who passed away in Chennai recently.
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During April-February, the index of industrial production, a measure of factory activity, declined 0.1 per cent compared with a 0.9 per cent growth in the corresponding period of 2012-13.
'I'm pitching India for the strengths we offer, including the English language, engineers, doctors, nurses, professionals, innovative talent of startups.'
Full capital convertibility means a foreign investor can repatriate his money into his own local currency at will.
'Urbanisation results in heavy rainfall events.'
'The food security along the coastal region will be severely affected.'
Officials said good rain in August - though it might not improve acreages much for most crops except urad, moong, and paddy - would help in improving yields in the crops already planted.
'Each cyclone has its own identity and its own behaviour based on the environmental conditions in the ocean and in the atmosphere.'
The challenge for the RBI in 2024 is likely to be less about containing elevated inflation and more about curbing excessive financial market exuberance and a 'problem of plenty', notes Sajjid Chinoy, Chief India Economist JP Morgan.
The monetary authority said it was worried on three fronts with regard to inflation as well as the economy.
Metal stocks also had a good session, with JSW Steel zooming by 7%, and Tata Steel and Nalco gaining about 3% each.
'Already, the temperature has touched 39 degrees in some parts of Gujarat and now we are in the last week of February.' 'We need to activate the heat action plan from March 1.'
'When you are travelling in Mumbai when the air quality is bad, you feel suffocated.' 'You may feel uncomfortable breathing Delhi air, but the level of discomfort is higher in Mumbai.'
Dilip Bhat, joint managing director of the Prabhudas Lilladher group, a financial products agency, talks to Business Standard about the market rally ahead of the elections.
Indrani Mazumdar ' Mumbai April 23, 2015 Last Updated at 15:57 IST Stock Tips for Tomorrow Subscribe, Know which stocks to buy Tomorrow only Profitable Stock tips www.live-market-tips.com/Tomorrow Ads by Google Add to My Page Tiny URL RELATED NEWS Markets end flat after paring gains; HDFC Bank down 1.6% Sensex, Nifty extend losses; TCS, L&T down 2% Sensex gains over 100 points; Wipro surges nearly 6% Sensex, Nifty up 1%; bank shares zoom Nifty slips below 8,400 mark; HDFC down over 1% Hiranandani Properties Prices Starting at Just 15 Lacs. An Excellent Opportunity. Visit Nowhouseofhiranandani.com Aviva Term Plan Get 1 Cr Life Cover @Rs 16*/day. High Protection at Minimal Cost!avivaindia.com/Term-Insurance Ads by Google Markets ended lower on Thursday despite the clarification on minimum alternate tax by the government while a weak monsoon forecast raised concerns about an uptick in inflation. Further, investors turned cautious ahead of fourth quarter earnings from Infosys while worries about Greece also dampened sentiment. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody's today said emerging economies in Asia Pacific region, including India, have a high degree of immunity to external shocks, but will face challenges when the US Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates. The 30-share Sensex dropped 155 points to end at 27,735 and the 50-share Nifty shed 31 points to close at 8,398. MARKET VIEW "The last 6 out of 7 days, we have witnessed an extreme bout of selling in the key indices and stocks. Every rise getting sold and Bulls coerced to give in recently, with key supports breached. Today, was no different day, where volatility was extreme. We believe that the approach to the market remains cautious. If the indices break the previous low and close below that (i.e. 8270), then it could trigger a short term correction. Else, this could very well be termed as a bounce off the support levels. However, for a new trend to begin, Banknifty has to break 19000 levels. " said Kunal Bothra, Head -Advisory, LKP. ECONOMY The clarification from the Indian government that it would honor tax treaties while making a demand of Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) at the effective rate of 20 per cent came as a relief for favorable treaty nations. But, dilemma still hangs over funds from other nations whose treaties do not grant an exemption from capital gains. The first monsoon forecast by the Indian Metrological Department (IMD) has predicted below normal rainfall during the season for the second straight year in 2015 primarily due to the build-up of El Nino conditions in the Pacific Ocean. Disruptions in the normal rainfall is likely to put further pressure on the agriculture sector which is already reeling under the impact of unseasonal rains that have damaged crops in parts of country and may lead to higher food inflation making further rate-cuts by Reserve Bank of India less likely. KEY STOCKS On the sectoral front, BSE Healthcare, Auto, Capital Gods, Oil & Gas, Realty and Power indices are trading lower up to 1%. However, BSE Consumer Durables and Metal indices are trading higher by 1% each. Metal stocks ended firm in today's trade after Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said the sector's return on equity will double by FY17 end. The research house reinstated coverage on Indian steel makers, with "buy" ratings on Tata Steel, SAIL, JSW and Jindal Steel and Power. Tata Steel gained 5%. Vedanta (earlier known as Sesa Sterlite) climbed nearly 0.5% and Hindalco was up 0.2%. Coal India advanced 1.3% after Brokerage firm CLSA maintained its 'buy' rating on the stock. YES Bank ended higher by 7% on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) on back of heavy volumes after the private sector lender said that its board approved a proposal to increase foreign institutional investor (FII)/foreign portfolio investors (FPI) limit to 74% from the existing limit of 49% of the paid-up share capital. According to media reports, Maruti Suzuki has plans of launching a series of new cars for the Indian market in 2015. Unveiled at the 2015 Geneva Motor Show, the Maruti Suzuki YRA model will be named as 'Fronx' for the Indian market. The stock was up 1%. TCS ended the session with marginal gains after the company teams up with Solace Systems team to deliver digital Reimagination solutions and services. Select IT shares remained under pressure for the seventh straight session over concerns about quarterly earnings. Infosys shed over 0.7% ahead of the quarterly earnings due tomorrow and Wipro lost nearly 2%. According to reports, M&M is planning to invest Rs 2,500 crore in expaniding its existing auto manufacturing facility in Telangana., which will increase its capacity to 1.5 lakh vehicles per year. The stock slipped over 1%. On the concern of poor monsoons ahead of the June-to-September monsoon season, auto, financials and FMCG stocks ended lower. ITC was down 0.3%, Tata Motors lost over 2%, Hero motocorp shed 1%, HUL slipped 0.6%, SBI dropped 2.4%, Axis Bank and ICICI Bank dipped 0.3% each. HDFC Bank lost 0.4%. HDFC Bank posted a 20.6% rise in net profit in the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2015 due to a higher loan growth. The bank had a net profit to Rs 2806.91 crore for Q4 compared to Rs 2,326.52 crore in same quarter previous fiscal. The number of new launches in residential real estate has come down by 55 per cent in the first quarter this year owing to subdued sales, according to a report. From the realty pack, Unitech, IB Realty, Godrej, Anantraj, HDIL and NBCC were down up to 2%. In the broader market, BSE Midcap index outperformed the peers and was up 0.6%. However, BSE Smallcap index lost 0.2%. Market breadth ended lower with 1,434 declines versus 1,377 advances. Read more on: Nifty ' Sensex ' Nse ' Bse ' Maruti ' Tcs ' Infosys ' Yes Bank ' Hdfc Bank ' Tata Steel Read More Sensex drops 189 points to end below 28,000 Provisionally, the 30-share Sensex ended down 189 points at 27,701 and the 50-share Nifty shed 39 points to close at 8,391 Add to My Page Tiny URL Recommended for you Monthly SIP Investments Invest as low as Rs 1000pm in Top SIPs in just 2mins. Start a ZipSip. www.myuniverse.co.in/ZipSip Luxury 2 & 3 BHK Mumbai Pay 10 lacs now, Rest on Possession 63 Storey Twin Towers in Kandivali lovealpine.com/Special-Offer Ads by Google Advertisements Prof. Mikkel Draebye explains the importance of corporate entrepreneurship. Read More Plan a vacation to unveil the dense wildlife at Tadoba. Buidling a smarter India with our contribution of new automation. Get up to 5 years of onsite warranty & great discounts. Know more Zero Account Opening Fees. Click here to know more $ Daily One Sure Intraday Stock Tip. Get Profit by 11:30 AM @ 0988877963 Leaders should be responsible for organisation and co-workers. "Prof. Massimo Magni" Unveil the marvellous hill stations of Maharashtra Back to Top Quick Links Go LATEST NEWSAll NewsIn This Section Nifty ends shy of 8,400; YES Bank top gainer PDP-BJP coalition govt a change for the worse: Omar Abdullah Arms case: Salman Khan fails to appear in court for recording statement MRF Q2 net surges 95% to Rs 333 crore Banking sector fraud has gone up by more than 10%: Deloitte Building leadership, capabilities in big data labs critical for analytics: Nasscom YES Bank extends intra-day gain on board nod to hike FII/FPI limit to 74% Gammon India to issue Rs 100-crore debentures to promoters Smart maps an $8 bn opportunity for India: Study Exercise financial prudence: Parrikar to Armed Forces News you can use Rss icon Don't reduce PF contribution What is Gratuity? What are NEFT and RTGS? Check your Income Tax Credit credit status form-26AS online Saving capital gain tax on sale of property Calculate tax on your house property income How to Check your EPF Balance & status online Featured Videos Why some of Japan's elderly want to go to jail video The 1341hp electric car beats a Bugatti video The maps that tell you when it's safe to breathe video How to add Michael Jordan's shoes to your portfolio video MOST POPULARReadSharedCommented BK Birla group plans mega recast Samsung to set up $100-mn plant in Hyderabad Rains seen below normal for 2nd straight year Jet Airways puts its wide-body fleet on sale to reduce debt FIIs with tax pact shield may be exempt from MAT Market News Signs of steel prices bottoming out a ray of hope for steel players CNX Metal index that fell to one-year lows of close to 2,293 in mid-March now trading at 2,460 levels Markets under pressure; Sensex slips below 27,800 The auto and capital goods space are exerting pressure on the indices in noon trades. Ashoka Buildcon dips after pricing QIP issue at discount The board has approved issue of 2.84 crore shares to Qualified Institutional Buyers at Rs 175.80 per share Cardamom rises by 0.4% as demand picks up Speculators created fresh positions at prevailing levels, taking positive cues from spot market on pick up in demand Crude palm oil falls by 0.1% on sluggish demand speculators indulged in reducing positions due to subdued demand in spot market The 30-share Sensex dropped 155 points to end at 27,735 and the 50-share Nifty shed 31 points to close at 8,398.
There should be one comprehensive and credible report on weather for India since a major part of the economy is dependent on it, says 'weather man' Angshujyoti Das.
